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We're one day from the season starting!  After watching football all day Sunday, I can't wait for hockey to start.  What a miserable day of football, culminating with my Bills playing horribly against the Patriots, with the referees trying to take over the game, constantly calling garbage against both teams.  Anyways... all of my rankings are out, so I'm going to talk about my ten favorite late round picks.  What allows these guys to qualify is that their ADP on Yahoo! or ESPN are outside of the top 200.  A couple things for clarification to start: I'm talking about 10 or 12'ers where I'm trying to shoot the moon late.  Worst case, we turn the pick into a streamer spot.  Best case, we end up holding the guy all season.  One of the best calls I had over the years was Victor Oloffson's rookie year, when he has 20+22 in 54 games before the COVID shutdown.  In deep leagues, we want to go safer towards the end of the draft because the waiver wire is barren.  Guys like Jason Zucker or Trevor Moore, who are middling streamers in 12'ers, become clear holds in deeper leagues and should be your target.  Let's look at those lottery tickets!
We wrap up my forward rankings by going through the Top 100 today.  As a reminder, there will be a separate post once my rankings are done for my favorite late round targets in 10-12 team leagues, but this post should get us comfortably through round 15 or so when you factor in goalies and defensemen.  If you haven't seen the Top 60, you can check that out here.  Let's get to it!
It's not too often that you see a team up 5-1 halfway through the game and they don't even get a point.  In fact, they lost by multiple goals.  The Sharks were taking it to the Predators on Tuesday before the firepower we expected from Smashville going into the season showed up, making a 7-5 comeback.  They were led by one of their big free agent signings, Jonathan Marchessault, who had a goal and three assists with four shots.  It was a brutal start to the season for Marchessault (like everyone on the Preds), but Marchessault is in the midst of a nine game point streak right now.  The shot is fantastic, so he's played his way back onto the fringe with a lean towards holding, especially on this hot streak.  Let's take a look at what else happened over the last two nights:
I attribute a lot of it to randomness, but the new coach bump seems to happen over and over again.  Right now, it's happening in Detroit, where Todd McLellan has the Red Wings on a seven game winning streak shortly after taking over the team.  Given the ugliness of the Eastern Conference Wild Card race, that's vaulted Detroit right back into contention.  A few guys have been thriving for Detroit, but I want to focus on Marco Kasper.  The former eighth overall pick is getting his first real opportunity in a big role, playing first line minutes with Larkin and Raymond.  In both games over the weekend, Kasper had a goal and an assist, with five shots between the two games.  He's getting second power play unit time as well, which is enough to bump Kasper into the middling to solid streamer range for the time being.  Let's take a look at what else happened over the weekend:
Dallas was in a mini slump having lost three of their last four games going into Monday night.  Safe to say that they took their anger out on the Penguins.  Dallas scored six goals in the first period, eventually winning the game 7-1.  Mason Marchment led the charge, tying the franchise record for points in a period with four, before tallying a fifth in the third.  Marchment's goal and four assists brought him up to a point per game on the season.  The minutes lead Marchment to being quite streaky, which is a reason why I see him more as an elite streamer than hold.  That said, you can make the case for holding Marchment on the bottom of your roster.  The PIM are excellent, the hits are also very good, and his play at even strength leads to a top plus-minus.  If you can stomach low shots and streaks, you can use Marchment for other team needs.  Let's take a look at what else happened over the last two nights:
It's not often that a four point game goes to waste, but it happened on Tuesday night.  Travis Konecny rallied the Flyers back to a 4-4 score, scoring two goals and dishing two assists, only for the Canes to score with 31 seconds left to win the game.  Konecny already has 7+7 in 13 games, totals that nobody can complain with.  He's playing over 20 minutes a night, giving him a great chance to set career high in goals and assists.  The one concern is that he's getting destroyed at even strength, currently sitting at -9 despite all of his points.  His shot rate is also fine, but not what we are accustomed to.  For years, Konecny was around two shots per game, until the last three where he approached three and went well past it.  Konecny has the chance to be a top 50 player this season, especially in PIM leagues, but he's going to have to get that shot rate back up.  Let's take a look at what else happened over the last two nights:
On Thursday, the Florida Panthers brought the Rangers back to earth with a 3-1 win in The Garden.  Leading the way was Sergei Bobrovsky, who made 24 saves in the win.  Bob became the 14th goalie in NHL history to win 400 games, and set the record for the fewest games to reach 400 wins in the process.  Assuming health, Bob will make the top ten all-time by the end of the season, and if he plays a couple seasons after this one, he should become the fourth goalie to reach 500 wins.  It hadn't been the best start to this season, but with Tkachuk back and Barkov on the way, it's only a matter of time until the Panthers get rolling again.  When that happens, Bob should get back to the top ten fantasy goalie that we're used to, with the upside of being the #1 goalie.  Let's take a look at what else happened over the last two nights:
No Barkov, no Tkachuk, no problem for Florida on Monday and Tuesday.  They posted two consecutive 4-3 wins over Boston and Columbus respectively, with Sam Reinhart leading the way.  Reinhart scored two goals on Monday against the Bruins before scoring a goal and two assists against the Blue Jackets.  It's an excellent start to the season for Reino despite missing his most common linemate.  I was still aggressive in my Reinhart ranking despite the regression that was coming because I've always believed in his ability.  I wouldn't be surprised if we see a career high in assists to counter the drop off in goals.  He played over 21 minutes on Tuesday and as long as the other two are out, I expect Maurice to lean on Reinhart heavily.  Let's take a look at what else happened over the last two nights:
We keep things moving in these parts with the rest of my forward rankings.  I am going to put these guys into tiers with comments on players that I think are worth discussion.  For example, I'm not going to talk about Scheifele because at this point, we know he's going to be right around a point per game with his goals coming down to how effective the Winnipeg PP is.  For the Top 40, you can read that here.  Let's get to it!
As a change of pace from my usual daily notes, I'm going to focus on one player on each NHL team whose value has changed recently, or could as the trade deadline approaches.  Let's get to it! In his last four games, Mason McTavish has four goals and three assists.  His line has dominated despite Anaheim's overall struggles.  McTavish is still available in over 50% of leagues, and if anything, his minutes should increase down the stretch once Henrique is moved out.  I have confidence in McTavish becoming a top 50 player sooner than later, potentially next season.  For now, I would definitely own him if your league doesn't have plus-minus.  If it does, he's on the fringe.
There was a lot of craziness around the NHL on President's Day, but nothing topped the game in Minnesota.  At one point late in the second period, the Canucks looked in complete control up 5-2.  Two minutes and seventeen seconds of game time later, Minnesota was up 6-5.  And if that wasn't enough, there were still six more goals!  The Wild beat the Canucks 10-7, and to wash it down, they played a paltry 6-3 game on Tuesday, a loss to the Jets.  Nothing like 13-13 aggregate over two nights.  On Monday, it was all of the stars for the Wild, as those four goals in a 2:17 span were all on the power play, three of which were 5 on 3.  Joel Eriksson Ek and Kirill Kaprizov had three goals and three assists... each!  Mats Zuccarello and Matt Boldy had a goal and three assists... each!  On Tuesday, Kaprizov had a goal and an assist, while Marco Rossi had two goals on five shots.  Both goalies were shelled, and right now, it's hard to trust either of them.  For the moment, the Wild look like a four star team, Faber is a clear hold, and Brodin is on the fringe.  Rossi is a solid streamer, and gamble if you'd like on their goalies.  Let's take a look at what else happened over the last two nights: