We are almost done with forwards as we'll get through the top 80 forwards after this post.  Reminder that I will go through the top 100 forwards, then go to an overall top 200 at the end where more forwards will be added.  To see my top 60 forwards, you can go through this link here.  Let's get to it! 61) Joe Pavelski - It is going to be weird seeing Pavelski in a Stars uniform.  He's coming off a great season with the Sharks with 38 goals and 26 assists in 75 games.  I do have a few concerns though.  One, he shot 20.2% last season, a number surely to regress.  That success covered up the second point, that his shot rate dropped down to 2.5 per game, quite a down tick from previous levels.  Three, he's 35 years old now, and while I don't expect a massive dropoff, we probably have seen the best of Pavelski.  On the good side of things, the Dallas power play should be incredible, and odds are Pavelski will get to play with one of the other star forwards.  Two seasons ago, Pavelski had 22+44.  I do think the assists go back up towards that number in Dallas, but the goals probably go back below 30 unless the shot rate goes back up.
Detroit's season has been over for months, but they haven't mailed it in.  The Red Wings have won six in a row and it starts with their first line.  Of late, Tyler Bertuzzi has been on an absolute tear.  He had two goals and an assist with five shots on Tuesday, his fourth consecutive third point game!  That brings him to 21+26 on the season with 32 PIM and a +13 rating, a great number on a poor team.  So what's his value going into next season?  It's hard to say.  He looks great with Larkin and Mantha, but what if the Red Wings bring someone else in and he's not there to open next season?  The PIM also aren't at the elite level I had hoped like his old man brought.  I do like Bertuzzi a lot for deeper leagues, but for him to be a play in standard leagues, he'll need to get his shot rate up and maintain the role he's had to finish the season.  You don't need streaming on Thursday or Saturday given the massive schedules, but if you need a guy, Bertuzzi is a great choice while he's hotter than hell.  Let's take a look at what else happened over the last two nights:
We've reached the finals in almost all formats making this the best time of the year in fantasy hockey.  That's if you're still in, of course.  I will continue the weekly previews that I've been doing over the last few weeks to provide some strategy and planning ahead in regards to streaming.  Again, this is meant to be a compliment to the Playoff Manifesto, not a replacement, so be sure to check that out as well here.  Let's get to it!
For those of you doing well in your head to head leagues, this is the most important post of the year.  This is my annual playoff manifesto where I break down every team's schedule for the last four weeks of the season.  I tell you who are the best teams and players to stream from, who you should look to trade for or away if your deadline hasn't passed, and it allows you to plan ahead with ease.  For those who haven't read it in the past, the numbers in the parentheses are how many games the team plays in each of those weeks, with the last number being the last week in the season and preceding accordingly.  This is going to be a massive post so let's get right to the 2019 Playoff Manifesto!
On January 3rd, the St. Louis Blues were in last place of the entire NHL.  Here we are six weeks later and they're safely in a playoff position.  The Blues have matched the longest winning streak in the NHL this season at 10, winning two games this weekend in convincing fashion.  First, Jake Allen shutout the Avalanche, then Jordan Binnington shut out the Wild on a back to back.  Right now, Binnington is as hot as it gets in the league.  I don't expect this to continue, but for now, he's a must start every time out.  I still view Allen as somewhat of a desperation play, but with how well the team is playing in front of him, I'm fine with streaming him for the time being.  Looks like a coaching change was what they needed to right the ship.  Let's take a look at what else happened over the weekend:
When we think about Tom Wilson going wild, it usually refers to him doing something dirty and piling up penalty minutes.  Don't get me wrong, he's still getting penalty minutes, but he's been fabulous offensively since returning from suspension.  Wilson scored two goals and an assist with six shots and two PIM in the 4-1 win over the Islanders on Monday.  In his eight games, Wilson has 6+6 with a +6 rating, 11 PIM and 21 SOG.  He's also averaging over 20 minutes per night.  There's no doubt about it, Wilson should be owned in all formats right now.  He's still available in about 1/3rd of leagues, so if you're lucky enough to be in one of them, pounce immediately.  Obviously he's not going to stay at a point per game, but the offensive will be solid with this workload, and we know the PIM will be glorious.  Let's take a look at what else happened over the last two nights:
We're over six weeks into the NHL season, and there have been plenty of changes over that time span.  I figured this was a good time to run down all 31 teams and make a list of who is a hold or streamer, and add any notes on certain players where necessary.  This is for 12 man leagues with standard categories. Let's get right to it!
It's nothing new when Mark Scheifele and Blake Wheeler have big games, and both managed to do so twice this weekend.  In Friday's 5-2 win over the Avalanche, Wheeler registered a point on all five goals, going 1+4, while Scheifele scored a goal and two assists with three shots.  They followed that up with Wheeler getting two more assists and Scheifele posting a 2+1 game.  Wheeler already has 20 assists in 16 games to go with 19 PIM and 3 goals, while Scheifele is up to 9+10 with 20 PIM.  Wheeler was a borderline first round pick that I had ranked as a high second rounder, while Scheifele was more 2nd/3rd range.  With his shot rate at exactly 2.5 per game right now, that solidifies him as a second round value.  Remember when ESPN had him ranked in the 60s?  Hilarious.  These two should continue to put up points no matter the opposition.  Let's take a look at what else happened over the weekend:
Lackeydrinksonme back again, helping out big John at the bar. This is my fourth and final in a series of fantasy hockey skater rankings. As I mentioned, I use 17-18 stats including points per game, points/TOI, Wins Above Replacement, Expected Goals and Actual Goals, and Offensive Point Shares, among others. I also use the eye test, and I try to consider what team a player is on, their expected linemates, and where they are in their careers. I also try to include my rationale, and for most players will offer a prediction on year end points. Like Viz indicated, once you get past the first few names there can be very little separation between certain players, and this obviously isn’t meant to be a comprehensive or be-all end-all ranking. Rather, it’s to give you another perspective on where players are being valued, and might reinforce an idea you have about a skater or surprise you with some analysis. I’ll gladly take questions in the comment section.