The Senators have been a disappointment this season despite their big forward acquisitions in the summer.  Turns out that you can't get away with completely ignoring the blue line and being forced to give bad players big minutes.  Anyways, we don't care about that for fantasy, we care about their scoring, and their top players have largely delivered.  Claude Giroux had a great weekend, totaling three goals and two assists with ten shots over two games.  Giroux is having his best goal scoring season since his monstrous 34 goal, 102 point season in 2017-18.  Unsurprisingly, that season and this season are Giroux's two highest shooting percentages, but it seems a bit more sustainable in this environment in Ottawa.  Even with an inconsistent PP1 role, Giroux has still played his way into being a bottom end hold in all formats.  The one problem is that after Ottawa's game on Tuesday, they don't play again until February 11th.  My biggest point here with bottom end holds over these bye weeks is that you need to know your league format and whether the waiver wire is strong enough that you can drop someone like Giroux to get more games.  In head to head leagues, volume is king, so you can make a case after Tuesday that you can let him go for players with a bunch of games after the All-Star break. In roto, I would hold onto Giroux without hesitation.  Let's take a look at what else happened over the weekend:
To say the injuries are piling up on Washington is an understatement.  They have six players on IR plus Orlov missed Monday's game.  The salaries of these players combines to over $40 million.  Washington pulled off the upset over the Oilers on Monday on the back of their power play.  Four of the five Capital goals came on the power play, with Evgeny Kuznetsov leading the charge with two goals, two assists, four shots and two PIM playing over 20 minutes.  It hasn't been the best start to the season for Kuz, but this will certainly help.  It's also encouraging that he has 3+ shots in five of his last seven games.  If I owned Kuz in fantasy, I would be patient.  With the lack of depth Washington is dealing with, the minutes should get back up towards the 20:17 he averaged last season.  Let's take a look at what else happened over the last two nights:
I'm going to do the second half of the Playoff Manifesto today.  If you missed Part One, you can check it out here.  Let's get right to it! NASHVILLE PREDATORS (4,4,3,3) This schedule is right up there for best in the league.  Fourteen games is as good as it gets.  They close each week with a back-to-back.  The only nitpick is that there are no games on light days, but few things are perfect.  Josi and Forsberg can both push for best player in the fantasy playoffs if things break right.  Ryan Johansen and Tanner Jeannot are both elite streamers in the stretches where Nashville has three games in four nights.
David Perron had a horrible start to the season and was shaping up to being one of the biggest fantasy busts of this year.  To say things have turned for the better is an understatement.  Perron scored two goals on seven shots against the Predators before scoring a goal on seven shots against Winnipeg.  Since Perron went back on the top line, Perron has exploded.  He has eight goals and five assists in the last ten games with 35 SOG.  It's good enough across the board that Perron is a clear hold in all formats again.  He's only available in about 25% of leagues, but even in a shallow league, I wouldn't be cutting Perron to keep a stream spot.  The schedule is a little light the next couple weeks, but it really picks up in the last week of March and early April.  Let's take a look at what else happened over the weekend:
We have our first big named moved prior to the trade deadline.  It appears that teams want to get their business done early this season, especially Montreal, and they did on Monday sending Tyler Toffoli to Calgary for a prospect and picks, including a first.  In Toffoli's first game, he scored a goal on four shots in 12:18 of ice time.  The game was lopsided so it's hard to make a lot of judgments yet.  Toffoli started the game on the third line, but his goal was assisted by Lindholm and Gaudreau as Sutter was trying out different looks.  Given how well the first line has played, I can't imagine Toffoli stays there, but it's worth noting.  If he's on the third line and second PP, he's capable of being a hold like Mangiapane has been in that role in the past, but it also caps his ceiling quite a bit.  I'm not rushing to hold him, but his underlying numbers are still quite good this season despite Montreal being a dumpster fire.  I wouldn't be surprised if he does turn into a hold at some point again, so if you want to make the spec add, I'm completely fine with it.  Let's take a look at what else happened over the last two nights:
There was plenty of craziness on Thursday night, but the Detroit-Tampa game takes the cake.  The Red Wings took the lead 6-3 in the third on the back of four, count them four, Tyler Bertuzzi goals, only to blow the game and lose in overtime 7-6.  Bertuzzi looks to be a solid streamer, but it's going to take a lot more to hold him.  He's been inconsistent in the past, and he's unvaccinated.  That means he won't be able to play any games in Canada.  The Red Wings already have a one off in Montreal next Saturday and another game in Toronto the week after.  It's simply too hard to hold a player that's missing games for something other than an injury.  Let's take a look at what else happened on the ice on Thursday night:
Things have taken a dramatic turn for the fourth playoff spot in the West division.  With the Blues crumbling, Arizona has played its way into the fourth spot.  They opened up a three point lead on Sunday night, almost exclusively because of Jakob Chychrun.  Chychrun had the first hat trick of his career, tying the game late in the third before scoring the winner in overtime.  That gives him twelve goals on the season pushing towards three shots per game and with elite penalty minutes.  He's a solid #2 for this season, but what's the long term ceiling?  Chychrun just turned 23 years old and this jump in shot rate does a lot for his long term value.  In terms of dynasties, Chychrun has shown me enough this year to warrant a spot in the bottom of the top ten for defensemen, making him a #1D.  He's a stud, plain and simple.  Arizona has been a surprise offensively, and a lot of it has to do with their kingpin defenseman.  Let's take a look at what else happened over the weekend:
Nino Niederreiter's first season in Carolina couldn't have gone any better with 14+16 in 36 games.  Last season really couldn't have gone worse with 11+18 in 67 games.  Well, this year has certainly been closer to 2018-19 and we can be thankful for that in fantasy.  Niederreiter scored two goals and an assist with three shots on Friday before dishing an assist on Saturday, adding six shots.  That brings Nino to 9+3 in 16 games with over three shots per game, 13 PIM, and a great +11 rating.  The second line in Carolina has been incredible, sparked by Niederreiter and Trocheck's revival.  He's an easy hold in all formats for the time being.  I wish that the minutes were a bit higher, but considering what Nino is doing with what he's getting, there can be some growth with additional minutes, namely in the assist department.  Let's take a look at what else happened over the weekend:
Now is the time to get excited if you own Blues players.  Sure, the top guys have been plenty good, but after their seven game battle with the Coyotes, the Blues played their next 11 games against the California trio.  It took a dramatic finish on Thursday, but they started off on the right foot.  With the goalie pulled, the Blues tied the game before winning it in overtime on a David Perron goal.  Perron scored a goal and added two assists with four shots in the victory.  That brings him over a point per game on the season with a quality plus-minus, solid shot rate, and good PIM.  He's a true stud across the board that tends to get a bit overlooked.  The top players on the Blues could be in line for a big month with Perron leading the way.  I can't rule out a top 50 season when we reach the end of this truncated year.  Let's take a look at what else happened on Thursday night: