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After blowing out the Senators on Tuesday, I was fully expecting the Sabres to lay an egg in Manhattan on Thursday.  Instead, they scored on the first shift of the game and didn't look back.  The Sabres won 6-1, with all twelve forwards getting at least one point in the game, just the second time that's happened in team history.  Besides the top line continuing to dominate, the big story here is Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen.  UPL saved 25 of 26 shots on Thursday, with the lone goal a completely fluky deflection that looped over him.  Based on expected goals metrics, this was a second monster game in a row for Luukkonen, with the Detroit game before that also a solid performance.  He's getting back to the goalie that he was last season, which makes him a solid #2 in fantasy.  The upside is there for a bottom end #1 because UPL is the clear #1 with Levi the backup.  In fact, if Anaheim waives Reimer when Gibson comes back shortly, I would not be surprised in the slightest if the Sabres claim Reimer back and send Levi down I-90 to Rochester.  Let's take a look at what else happened the last two nights:
In honor of Opening Day in baseball, Filip Forsberg continued an elite season with a 40/40 of his own.  Nashville is in the midst of their best run in franchise history with Forsberg leading the charge.  On Wednesday, they fell down 3-0 against the other wild card team in the West, the Golden Knights, before the Preds stormed back to win 5-4 in overtime.  Forsberg had a goal and two assists, scoring to make the game 4-3 Vegas, then assisting on the tying and winning goals.  That brings him to 40 goals and 41 assists and into being the 10th overall forward in fantasy this season.  There are a few different things that have caused Forsberg's big season that are different from two seasons ago, when he had 42+42 in 69 games.  One, he's over four shots on goal per game.  His current shooting percentage is right in line with his career average, unlike two seasons ago when he was running hot.  Two, his time on ice is up a bit.  Three, the coaching is much better with Brunette.  Four, he's stayed healthy, the most important thing.  Lastly, he's clicked with RoR, an elite defensive center who can hold his own offensively.  This is letting Forsberg crush even strength while continuing to perform on the power play.  Forsberg is still only 29 years old, giving us hope that he can repeat this season for the next 1-2 years.  Just stay healthy!  Let's take a look at some things that happened over the last two nights.  A reminder that if you want to maximize your streaming, check out the entire Playoff Manifesto.  Let's get to it!
After his big breakout last season, Martin Necas has had a rough go of it this season.  Much like his team, he's started to turn his game around over the last month.  Since coming back from a two week injury on January 19th, when Necas had 9 goals on the season, he has seven goals in seven games, culminating with a natural hat trick in the first period against the Avalanche on Thursday.  On top of the goals, Necas has been taking a ton of shots.  He's averaging five shots on goal per game in the past seven, with 4+ in six of the last seven games.  If you're lucky enough to be in the 20% of leagues that Necas is available in, grab him immediately.  If you've held onto him, here's to hoping he keeps up this form to make up for the poor first half.  Let's take a look at what else happened over the last two nights:
We're very close to the All-Star break with most teams starting their extended break on Sunday.  If you look at defensemen production, specifically in goals, you see notable names at the top.  Dahlin leads defensemen in goals, and then there's a four way tie behind him with notables like Makar and Hughes.  None of that is a surprise.  Weegar is one of those tied with Makar and Hughes, which is very surprising, but he went into the season locked into a big role, so let's assume he had some good fortune.  But Thomas Harley?  He's a player I really liked in dynasties, but to be one goal off the league lead for defensemen?  Not even close to my radar.  Harley scored two goals on Saturday, including the overtime winner for a second straight game, in the 5-4 win over the Capitals.  That gives Harley a whopping 12 goals in 46 games.  "Even with Heiskanen back, Harley was a factor.  I’m still holding Harley even though I wasn’t expecting to when Heiskanen came back.  He’s been that good for the Stars."  And that's me quoting me from three days ago copying what Grey does!  Somehow, Harley is still available in almost two-thirds of fantasy leagues.  With the pool of defensemen dropping off hard at the bottom, Harley should be owned in all formats.  Let's take a look at what else happened over the weekend:
It's been a painful 13 years as a Sabres fan, but Tuesday's game might have been the worst.  There were tanking years, there were disappointing years, but for as bad as it's been, there can't be a worse loss than giving up nine goals at home to one of the worst teams in the league missing two of their best players.  "Kirill Marchenko is a lone bright spot lately.  I’m not holding, but the minutes are going up, the goals and shots are decent enough, and he currently is a key figure on their PP.  He’s a solid streamer."  And that's me quoting me from yesterday!  Well, it's time to give Marchenko a boost.  Marchenko had a natural hat trick in this game.  One of his goals was on the power play, he put four shots on goal, and he played 15 minutes despite the game being a blow out.  Marchenko is now an elite streamer.  Let's take a look at what else happened on Tuesday night:
Hello everyone. Welcome to the seventh edition of JOT This Down! Thank you to everyone who provided feedback in volume six. I appreciate it.  Keep the questions, comments, and concerns coming. I’ll be here all week to answer any and everything you may have.
How does Sidney Crosby keep getting better at 36 years old?  Crosby had a hat trick and an assist on Tuesday, leading the Penguins to a 5-3 win over the Blue Jackets.  He opened the scoring in the game, he got the lead back in the last six minuets and then sealed the game with an empty netter.  That brings Crosby to 10 goals and 9 assists in 14 games while pushing four shots per game.  He's on a nine game point streak and is a top 20 forward again.  With the arrival of Erik Karlsson (goal and an assist, two shots), Crosby has a great chance of getting to 100 points for the first time in five seasons and 40 goals for the first time since 2016-17.  I think at this point, he has to be considered a top five player of all-time.  If you have him in fantasy, enjoy it, because there's no reason to expect regression.  Let's take a look at what else happened over the last two nights: