Today, I move from overall rankings to goaltenders only.  I'm going to cover my first four tiers today out of eight.  This will take me through 16 goalies.  These guys all have a realistic chance of finishing as a top 10 goalie this season to varying degrees.  There are some guys in the lower tiers who have an outside chance, but a lot will have to go right for them.  That post will not be as detailed as the previous three posts.  It will be in part, but when we get to tiers that are beyond desperation, it will be more of a list.  But enough about tomorrow's post, let's get to the top goalies!
I've been aggressive ranking Matthew Tkachuk for years, but I never expected this type of offense from him.  Tkachuk had a hat trick on Tuesday, bringing his season totals up to 37+55 in 73 games.  He has a chance for 100 points, he's +49, the PIM are strong, and his shot rate is over three per game.  Tkachuk is pretty much having a Marchand-esque season.  That's the Marchand who has been a top five player for the past 4-5 years.  Now, I'm not quite going there with Tkachuk for next season.  Gaudreau could leave and this is an outlier in terms of past performance.  That said, he's firmly in the first round pick discussion because he smashes every category.  I can't wait to see what he does in the playoffs.  Let's take a look at what else happened the last two nights:
As a Sabres fan, the last decade has been bleak, to say the least.  There's starting to be some light at the end of the tunnel, and the newest example came on Monday night.  The Sabres did something they hadn't in 33 years: win a game after being down by four goals. The Sabres came back from 4-0 to tie the game at 4, then went down 5-4 before Alex Tuch tied the game with 2:14 left, then Tage Thompson won it with 11 seconds left. The team is 6-1-2 in the last nine games with plenty of encouraging signs.  We should see Owen Power sooner than later as well.  From a fantasy perspective, the biggest story has to be Thompson.  He's up to 28 goals on the season and over three shots per game.  The jump he's made this season while moving to center is remarkable.  Thompson is still available in over 50% of leagues and quite frankly, I don't understand it at all.  He's a clear hold.  Let's take a look at what else happened over the last two nights:
In stunning fashion, the Coyotes have won six of seven games this month, including games against the Avalanche and Maple Leafs.  In their last six games, they have goal totals of 8, 9, 5, 5, and 6.  Just as we all expected, an offensive juggernaut in the desert.  Wait, that's not Vegas...  Arizona won both games in a back-to-back on Monday and Tuesday, winning 5-3 in Ottawa and 6-3 in Montreal.  Their lead man was Lawson Crouse.  Crouse had a hat trick on four shots in the win over Ottawa before scoring a goal and an assist with three shots in Montreal.  That brings Crouse to 19+13 on the season, easily a career high in goals and one off his career high in assists.  For the time being, Crouse is an elite streamer.  You can even make a case for holding him in hits leagues given his gaudy total, and the PIM are great as well.  Crouse looked on the path to being a massive bust, and while he still has a way to go, this is an incredible encouraging season from the 24 year old.  Let's take a look at what else happened over the last two nights:
Who would have thought that a seven point game wouldn't get the opening?  It would take something extravagant and that's what happened, with Jason Robertson scoring back-to-back hat tricks. R0bertson carried the Stars to victory on Friday scoring three on seven shots, including the overtime winner.  He capped it off with an empty netter to seal the game against Minnesota on Sunday, totaling six shots and two PIM with his hat trick.  That brings Robertson to a whopping 29+25 in 47 games and three shots per game.  Robertson seemingly came out of nowhere last season to earn a second place finish in the Calder race.  Now, the sky appears to be the limit.  Robertson is still only 22 years old and has his center of the present and future already with him.  It looks like the Stars have their new Benn and Seguin.  They can only hope Hintz and Robertson reach that level, but it's not out of the realm of possibility.  I don't think Robertson quite cracks the top 20 for the rest of the season and next year, but he's a slam dunk top 50 player.  Let's take a look at what else happened over the weekend:
Igor Shesterkin has been long anointed as "the next one."  It turns out he's even better than I expected, and I have him at +1200 to win the Vezina.  Shesterkin saved 36 of 37 shots in the 4-1 win over the Capitals on Thursday, losing his shutout with one minute left to an Ovechkin flubbed deflection.  Let's face the facts.  The Rangers are the good bad team.  Yes, the power play is great, but they're a below average even strength team being propped up by how good Shesterkin.  He's certainly the best goalie in dynasties, and for this season, it's a two man tier of Shesterkin and Vasilevskiy.  If NHL players were in the Olympics, one of these guys would have been stuck backing up, probably Igor.  Pretty absurd.  Regardless, I'm not a first round pick goalie guy, but starting next season, I wouldn't be surprised if Igor stays in that territory for the next 5+ years.  Let's take a look at the last two nights:
Not everybody can step into the league and score 105 points like Crosby or 52 goals like Ovechkin did.  Even for #1 overall picks, it can take some time for them to learn the league and figure out how to play to their strengths.  If the last week is any indication, it looks like Jack Hughes has started to figure it out.  After a three point game earlier in the week, Hughes followed that up with another three point game; two goals and an assist with seven shots against the Oilers. On Sunday, Hughes kept the multi-point streak going with two assists against the Capitals.  That brings to 8+8 in 16 games.  You don't need a math major like me to tell you that's a 41+41 pace over 82 games.  The minutes are starting to reach first line minutes on a regular basis.  Missing a lot of time will keep his overall value down, but Hughes has a reasonable chance to be a top 50 player this season on a per-game basis, and he'll be ranked extremely high from yours truly in 2022-23.  Let's take a look at what else happened over what was hopefully a great New Years weekend for everyone!
It wasn't hard to figure out who to feature in the opening paragraph tonight.  Andre Burakovsky started off the weekend with two goals on six shots against the Red Wings and finished it off with a hat trick on six shots against the Panthers.  That brings Burakovsky to 12+8 in 24 games on the season, quite the respectable total.  He's still available in 40% of leagues and that needs to change immediately.  With Gabriel Landeskog out for two weeks, Burakovsky is playing on the top line and top power play unit.  That's enough to make him must own in all formats, and he showed why on Sunday, getting a hat trick in a tough matchup.  It should be an excellent December for Burakovsky and hopefully it continues into the New Year.  Let's take a look at what else happened over the weekend:
A personal favorite, Filip Forsberg, took over the game on Tuesday night, scoring four goals in the 6-0 win over the Blue Jackets.  That gives Forsberg 10 goals and 5 assists in 13 games.  Not bad, not bad.  The story is the same for Forsberg as it has been over the last five years.  When he's on the ice, he's one of the best offensive players in the league.  The problem is that he always seems to have an injury that causes him to miss a month.  He's already missed eight games so fingers crossed that he stays healthy the rest of the way.  His linemates (more on them later) have found their form as well giving Nashville a potent first line for the first time since Johansen was playing his best hockey and Arvidsson was at his peak goal scoring ability.  He has a tough matchup with Boston on Thursday, but after that, Nashville has some easy opponents which could let Forsberg continue this goal scoring run.  Let's take a look at what else happened over the last two nights:
Jeff Skinner scored 40 goals in 2018-19 playing on the first line with the Sabres.  Then, for no reason at all, Ralph Krueger decided that Skinner shouldn't play on the first line anymore.  Last season, Krueger thought that Skinner, on a team devoid of talent, should play on the fourth line, or even be scratched.  Needless to say, Krueger was one of the worst coaches in the league and quickly lost his job.  Since Don Granato took over, Skinner has been back in the role he should be, and he's been thriving in the early part of this season.  Skinner scored two goals and added an assist on Saturday against the Maple Leafs.  He has 5+4 in 14 games so far with a whopping 47 shots on goal.  The shot volume will go a long way towards Skinner finding his goal scoring touch again.  I don't think he's a slam dunk hold in 12'ers just yet, but he's an elite streamer with clear upside in his role.  Let's take a look at what else happened over the weekend:
It's no secret that I think Nikolaj Ehlers is the best forward on the Jets and it's not much of a debate.  Ehlers stole the show on Tuesday night, tying the game with the goalie pulled, only to score 19 seconds later and win the game for Winnipeg.  Ehlers had an assist earlier in the game bringing him up to 2+2 in six games.  The big thing is that he has 25 shots in six games.  Ehlers is an absolute stud and the points are going to keep flowing in.  Let's take a look at what else happened over the last two nights: