LOGIN
It was a slow start for Jake Guentzel in Tampa Bay, but that is clearly a thing of the past.  Guentzel scored a goal and an assist with five shots in the 5-3 win over the Blue Jackets, extending his goal scoring streak to seven games.  This game brings Guentzel up to 18 goals and 15 assists in 28 games, with the shot rate creeping back up towards three per game.  I was extremely bullish on Guentzel in Tampa Bay, ranking him 12th overall.  He hasn't quite been to that level, but that's what I'm expecting for the rest of the season.  Let's take a look at what else happened over the last two nights:
We're just over a month into the season now, so I figured this was a good point to look at some surprises and disappointments around the NHL.  I'm going to look at one player on each team that has been better or worse than we expected, looking at what has happened so far, and what to expect from them going forward.  I've received plenty of questions talking about players that are struggling so I figured it was best to give longer thoughts about how panicked I am.  Today, I'm going to focus on the Eastern Conference while the Western Conference will come later in the week.  Let's get to it!
Opening night in Salt Lake City couldn't have gone any better for Utah HC.  Dylan Guenther will go down in history after their first goal scorer, and he also sealed the game with an empty netter.  Guenther picked up right where he left off last season with those two goals on five shots, playing over 16 minutes.  To say I'm all in on Guenther is an understatement.  Guenther's ADP was outside of the Top 200 while I had him ranked 96th overall.  I'm a huge believer in his talent, and with Logan Cooley (2A, 3 SOG) as his centerman, I think we see fantastic seasons that elevate Utah into the playoffs.  Let's take a look at what happened over the last three nights:
The season is underway with my beloved Sabres getting dominated twice by the Devils.  I'm going to start by talking about what was notable in those two games below, before looking at the games over the next two nights.  There's eight games in total between Tuesday and Wednesday, with some intriguing matchups and some possible early answers to some major questions, so I want to say what I'll be watching for from a fantasy hockey perspective.  Let's get to it!
We keep things moving in these parts with the rest of my forward rankings.  I am going to put these guys into tiers with comments on players that I think are worth discussion.  For example, I'm not going to talk about Scheifele because at this point, we know he's going to be right around a point per game with his goals coming down to how effective the Winnipeg PP is.  For the Top 40, you can read that here.  Let's get to it!
Out of the top ranked goalies in the preseason, only Hellebuyck has played at an elite level.  This is a big reason why I don't take goalies in the first two rounds, if not longer, because the variance is too high.  My #1 goalie going into the season was Jake Oettinger.  He didn't play well in the first half and also missed time due to injury.  The All-Star break proved to be a good reset, as Oettinger was out of his mind on Tuesday.  Oettinger made 47 saves in the 2-1 win over the Sabres, stealing the game for the Stars.  After tomorrow, there's only two back-to-backs in the next four weeks for the Stars.  We should see Oettinger get plenty of action, and I'd bet on him finishing the season strong.  I don't do midseason rankings because I don't see a lot of value for the time it takes.  You have the team you have, and if you are making trades, you need to target your weaknesses to improve.  That said, if I was ranking for the rest of the season, Oettinger would still be a top five goalie.  I'm not betting against him.  Let's take a look at what else happened over the last two nights:
With the league entering the All-Star break, it's been a dead time around the league.  Thankfully, we have something major worth discussing.  The #1 player on trade deadline boards moved early, with Elias Lindholm moving to the Vancouver Canucks.  In return, the Flames acquired Andrei Kuzmenko, Hunter Brzustewicz, Joni Jurmo and a conditional fourth round draft pick.  Let's take a look at the fantasy impact for this move in this season and beyond:
When the Flames acquired Yegor Sharangovich and a third round pick for Toffoli, the consensus was the Flames didn't get nearly enough for Toffoli off a 34 goal season.  Well, here we are at the midway point of the season, and Sharangovich has more goals than Toffoli.  Sharagovich had a hat trick on six shots on Thursday in the 6-2 victory over the Coyotes.  That gives him 17+30 in 42 games.  The minutes have been through the roof lately, and Sharangovich has rewarded Huska with 6+5 and over three shots per game in his last ten appearances. His speed is an absolute weapon and he's starting to be a focal point on the power play.  At the end of the day, Sharangovich is probably somebody who is on the fringe, but for now, he's a definite hold.  Let's take a look at what else happened over the last two nights:
It wouldn't be this Buffalo Sabres season if they didn't blow out an elite team after getting buried by a bottom feeder.  The Sabres beat Toronto 9-3 on Thursday, becoming the first team in 40 years to score 9 goals in a game after conceding 9 in their previous game.  Does this change my opinion on anyone on the Sabres?  No, not really, they're just going to be an up and down team.  The one notable thing is that Jack Quinn scored a goal on three shots with four PIM in his second game of the season.  Quinn had a solid rookie season but suffered an Achilles injury in the offseason, setting back his sophomore season.  It's encouraging that even with a fully healthy lineup, Quinn's line was getting plenty of usage.  He's a middling streamer for now, but there's upside to an elite streamer this season, while Quinn has clear potential to be a permanent hold for years in dynasties.  Let's take a look at what else happened over the last two nights:
It's safe to say that we've reached the point that nobody doubts Boston anymore.  Their two top centers retired, and yet the team is chugging along at 16-4-3.  Their new captain was the reason they won both games over the weekend.  Brad Marchand scored the overtime winner against the Leafs on Saturday, his eighth shot on goal in the contest.  He followed it up with a natural hat trick, scoring all three goals for the Bruins in their 3-1 win over the Blue Jackets.  That gives Marchand 11+12 in 24 games, almost exactly a point per game.  The big thing is his shot rate is at an all-time high.  In my preseason rankings, I was uncertain on Marchand's ceiling, but speculated his shot rate could improve without Bergeron.  He's at exactly 3.5 per game, and with his elite PIM as always, Marchand is still in the conversation for a top 20 player.  At 35 years old, Marchand is showing no signs of slowing down.  Let's take a look at what else happened over the weekend: