Hey everyone! Instead of simply relisting all of my top 200, I’m going to go through the guys who are moving up or down my rankings in a significant fashion, be it for injury or otherwise. If people want me to post an updated top 200 list, I can do that for Monday, but it would simply be a list without details. This post is to give you details on these movements so to follow along, here are my Top 50, Top 100, Top 150, and Top 200. I will continually update this post until the start of the season to keep everything up to date. Here are the latest movers:
RISERS
Devan Dubnyk – The more time goes by, the more I believe that Dubnyk belongs on the end of the goalie tier from 24-26th. Dubnyk was the #3 goalie last year and has an incredibly high floor in Boudreau’s system. I’d slide him up to 27th overall.
P.K. Subban – The loss of Ryan Ellis for at least half of the regular season puts a massive burden on Subban, Roman Josi and Mattias Ekholm. For fantasy purposes, that’s great for us. Ekholms becomes fringe 12’er worthy but the big winners are Subban and Josi. Subban moves up towards the back of the 3rd round while Josi jumps up to around 50th overall.
Andrei Vasilevskiy – I usually don’t go goalie early in drafts so I find myself more and more willing to take Vasilevskiy as my #1. I am sliding him up to around Bishop’s range since Tampa gives him more upside in terms of wins compared to the other goalies in his original tier.
Corey Perry – Even with the drop off last season, the floor is too high to be outside of the top 100. He belongs closer to 80th overall with upside from there since the Ducks are decimated and could ride their studs for massive minutes.
Jonathan Quick – I still don’t want Quick anywhere but he belongs in the tier with all of the other goalies around 70th overall.
Kris Letang – I still can’t justify a top 50 pick on Letang but he’s healthy in camp so he’s moving into the top 60. If you want to gamble, Letang is your guy because he can be the #1 defenseman if he plays 70 games.
Oliver Ekman-Larsson – I’m starting to buy into Arizona having a nice season. OEL moves back into my top 100 since we’ve seen him be a top 40 player before.
Mike Smith – The upside is so high for Smith that he belongs in the group around 110th overall.
Jacob Trouba – The floor is high for Trouba because he hits all of the categories. As talked about on the most recent podcast, Trouba should be closer to 125th overall.
Charlie McAvoy – I don’t want to move him up too much since Torey Krug will probably only miss the first week or two of the season but it give McAvoy a chance to start hot and then run with it. Move him up a round or two.
Oliver Bjorkstrand – Everyone who reads my posts with regularity know how much I like Bjorkstrand. Well, he’s skating in camp with Panarin and Wennberg which is a dream spot. I want him on every team now and would move him up to around 150th.
Cam Fowler – I would be willing to take Fowler a round or two higher than where I had him with the intention of selling high once Anaheim gets healthier (just like last year).
Sean Couturier – Early in camp he is centering Giroux and Voracek giving him some upside for once. He slides into my top 200 but towards the bottom end since there’s no guarantee that it sticks.
FALLERS
Erik Karlsson – With there being a chance he’s out for the first month of the season, Karlsson drops down a bit. For now, he goes into the 30’s but he could go down to around 50th if it’s confirmed that he’ll be out for October.
Ryan Kesler – He’s out until around Christmas so I wouldn’t draft him outside of the last round of two if you have injured reserve spots.
Justin Schultz – I don’t trust Letang to stay healthy but since he’s not going to miss the beginning of the season as originally expected, Schultz drops down to the 150th overall range for me.
Dmitry Orlov – I was too aggressive in my rank with Orlov. I still want him everywhere but you can get him just outside the top 150 with no issue.
